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March 15, 2009

A Brief Statistical Digression

Greatest of all time? Could be

The question of whether the 2009 Christian Learning boys varsity team is the best in League history may never be decided definitively because of the lack of reliable statistics prior to 2008.
Still, it may be interesting to compare this year's Eagle team with last year's, and by that reckong this year's team looks impressive indeed.
Last year's Eagles averaged 40.5 points per game during the regular season, which ended in a tie with Cambridge. The Eagles then won the playoff tournament. Not a shabby record.
This year's Eagle team, however, has averaged 49.3 points per game over its first three games, in which it is undefeated.
The comparison is just as decisive when looked at in terms of defense. Last year's team allowed 26 points per game; this year's only 17.3.
But some may say the oppositon is weaker this year, particularly Cambridge where Juan Manuel Salas has moved to Lima and Benjamin Ezpeleta has graduated, removing the League's two top scorers. The Knights are a mere shadow of their former selves, right?
Well, not so fast. The 2008 Cambridge team averaged 37.2 points per game, but this year's has averaged 38.3 points per game so far.
True, on defense this year's Cambridge team has yielded about 1.3 more points per game than last year's, but that's mainly a result of the 42 points the Eagles ran up against them.
If one leaves out the Christian Learning game, then this year's Cambridge team has held its opponents to five fewer points per game than last year's.
That's not conclusive proof of legendary status for this year's Eagles, but it's something to ponder.